College Football Week 10 Picks

1-2-1 vs the spread last week, 31-18-1 for the season.

Florida +13 at Georgia: In their last game, Florida held Missouri to 20 yards passing, and 119 total yards. . .and somehow managed to give up 42 points!  Huh?!?!  Florida is the #12 total defense in the country, and yet sits at 3-3.  Only Michigan's Brady Hoke sits on a hotter seat than the Gators' Will Muschamp.  Florida sucks, and has sucked for the last year and a half, because their offense is abysmal.  Their offense is so bad, you don't even have to worry about Georgia's Clean Shirt defense in this one. . .or ten year back-up QB Hutson Mason having to do anything.  Georgia.

Auburn +2.5 at Mississippi: Can Ole Miss recover from last week's devastating loss to LSU?  Rebel head coach Hugh Freeze and QB Bo Wallace badly mismanaged the End Game, and you have to wonder if Wallace feels like he has to make amends against Auburn.  If so, I can see him forcing plays and making even more bonehead decisions.  And even the great Mississippi defense unraveled late in the game, allowing LSU to run, run, run, run the ball downfield on the game-winning td drive. Auburn gave up over 500 yards to a mediocre South Carolina team last week, barely scraping out a 42-35 W.  I don't see Auburn as Playoff caliber, I don't think they can handle either Georgia or Alabama, but they get Mississippi at the right time.  When you lose a game the way the Rebels did last week, it's not that easy to move forward.  Auburn.

Arkansas +10.5 at Mississippi State: The Bulldogs had a tougher time than expected against Kentucky, giving up over 500 yards in a game that went down to the wire.  It may simply have been, after playing three straight Top 10 teams, Mississippi State was on cruise control against the underwhelming Wildcats.  After battling Alabama to a near-standstill, Arkansas looked played out against Georgia, and got buried early, dropping former Big 10 coach Bret Bielema to 0-12 in the SEC.  And it will be 0-13 after Saturday's game in Starkville.  Mississippi State.

Arizona +3.5 at UCLA: Arizona #6 total offense, UCLA #21 total offense.  UCLA #89 total defense, Arizona #99 total defense.  Two terrible defenses, one pretty good offense and one great offense.  Arizona.