Tuesday, October 20, 2015

NFL Week 7 Picks

3-3 vs the spread last week, 19-20-1 for the year. . .

After Brian Hoyer led the disappointing Texans to a victory over once-again lousy Jacksonville, head coach Bill O'Brien said we're going to stick with Brian. He's playing really well. Got a lot of confidence in him.  Ha ha ha.  I'm sure Hoyer took those comments with more than a few grains of salt.  No current League QB has been back-stabbed by his coaches more than Hoyer, and been benched for shittier replacements (airheads Ryan Mallet and the midget, and the crybaby McClown).  Not that Hoyer is the second coming of Johnny Unitas or anything, but he's been CLEARLY better than Mallet and the midget, doesn't cry like McClown, and has won games for weakling football teams, yet for some reason, his coaches treat him like a tramp, using him for a few weeks, than throwing him in the gutter when the next QB comes prancing along.  I make it even money O'Brien benches Hoyer again sometime this season. . .

And what's with Jay Gruden?  After endlessly nitpicking RGIII to death, and replacing him with the horrible Kirk Cousins, who throws at least 2 dumb INTs a game, Gruden goes out of his way to make the most absurd excuses for Cousins.  After last Sunday's latest debacle, Gruden excused Cousins picks by saying it was a little windy.  Gruden will end up losing his job because he cannot admit he's backed the wrong QB.  

Seattle -5.5 at San Francisco: This game used to determine who was the NFC West's best, now it's to see who's the West's worst.  The 49ers fall-off was predicted by everybody, but Seattle's slide has been a surprise, they are a zebra gift away from being a 1-5 team. Though the Seahawks defense, which has choked away a couple games late, is not nearly as tough as it was under former coordinator Dan Quinn, I would still be shocked if they were on the verge of a complete collapse, which is what a loss to the lame 49ers would signal.  Seattle.  

Atlanta -3.5 at Tennessee: Tennessee head coach Kunt Whisenkunt, a wannabe tough guy, bitched about a hit on his pretty boy QB Markesha Mariota:
Shut up, Kunt.  This ain't flag football you're coaching, though with your 3-18 record with the Titans, maybe you think it is.  Kunt just got his ass beat by a Miami squad of quitters coached by a rah-rah interim coach. . .whatever the fuck Whisenkunt thinks he's doing, it's obviously not resonating with the players, who once again look like they are just going through the motions, just like they did with their ten game losing streak to end last season.  Atlanta is coming off their first loss of the season, a bumbling performance against the over-the-hill Saints. . .this is the perfect tomato can opponent to get back on the winning track. . .the Falcons have way too much firepower for a Titan defense that don't want to lay it on the line for coach Kunt.  Surprise stud running back Devonta Freeman and Julio Jones ought to find plenty of open field in this one.  Atlanta.    

Minnesota -2.5 at Detroit: The Lions got their first *win* of the year against the Bears last week, in a game which offered an amateurish exhibition from both squads. . .it was a seemingly endless overtime affair which *featured* double-digit bonehead penalties, fumbles, dumb INTs, and moronic coaching strategy. True to their Hall of Fame Garbage Time Form, once the pressure of playing with something to lose was lifted by their 0-5 start, Lion *stars* Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson posted big numbers, and will now likely remain Fantasy *stars* for the remainder of this lost season.  The Vikings, under second year coach Mike Zimmer, are right where a team on the rise is supposed to be, one win over a crappy team away from being 4-2 and in solid Wild Card contention.  Minnesota.    

Pittsburgh -2 at Kansas City: Pittsburgh's winning with an oddball collection of QBs, while the Chiefs have flopped to a 1-5 start, and now have to go the rest of the year without Jamal Charles.  The Steelers season has been marked by suspensions and injuries, but their defense is getting tougher by the week. . .if Big Ben gets back and regains his old form for the stretch run, the Steelers will be a dangerous playoff team, and probably the only AFC team that can stop the Patriots from returning to the Super Bowl.  The Chiefs have been horrible, even losing at home to the Bears, and QB Alex Smith now looks like his pre-Harbaugh self . . .this is the beginning of the end for behemoth head coach Andy Reid.  Pittsburgh.

Houston +4.5 at Miami: After quitting on Joe Philbin, the Dolphins resembled the team many thought they'd be in demolishing shitty Tennessee last week for their new gung-ho interim coach.  But that was Tennessee, and lucky for them, this is Houston, another chump team.  But once they're done kicking the Texans around, the Dolphins have to play the Patriots, Bills and Eagles on the road.  We'll see then if the Dolphins quit on Philbin because Philbin was a goofball, or just because the Dolphins are natural born quitters.  Bill O'Brien gave Brian Hoyer a vote of confidence after last week's win over the Jags, so Hoyer's job ought to be safe at least until the 3rd quarter.  The Texans' DeAndre Hopkins looks like the next Calvin Johnson, a great garbage time receiver.  Every reasonable indicator points to the Dolphins winning this one EZ. . .but I have a feeling the Dolphins believe last week's game was worth two weeks of work. . .all that bye week rally-round-the-new coach, the-season-begins-now rejuvenation might wear off pretty quick on the slacker Dolphins.  Upset Special.  Houston.     

New York Jets +9.5 at New England: New head coach Todd Bowles has had a friendly opening schedule, 5 chump teams in a row, and he's done a decent job of turning the former chump Jets into a 4-1 team. . .but now he's got to face the Pats as the real measuring stick.  The Jets defense is for real, its loaded with stars, but an offense of cast-offs Ryan Fitzpatrick, Chris Ivory and Brandon Marshall ain't gonna score enough to win the game.  The defense keeps the Jets close enough to cover, but NE gets the W.  New York Jets.

Philadelphia +3 at Carolina: As quickly as the Eagles were written off, they're just as quickly back in first place in the mediocre NFC East.  But the offense still looks like a work-in-progress, with Samantha Bradford tossing 9 INTs and ranking dead last in Total QBR, and big money free agent running back DeMarco Murray only averaging 3.4 yards per carry.  Carolina is the surprise team of the year, 5-0. . .or are they?  The Panthers haven't played a team with a winning record.  Still, I give Ron Rivera a lot of credit, the Panthers themselves are a chump team, and surely have less talent than Houston and Seattle, and maybe even the Saints, three of the sparring partner teams they've beat.  Listen, when your QB is your best running back, and Ted Ginn is your best wide out, you ought to be 0-5 instead of 5-0, no matter who you've played.  Why so little respect for Rivera?  Maybe because he looks more like he ought to be starring in Machete 3 than coaching in the NFL?  Anyways. . .Carolina

19 comments:

  1. Seattle vs SF- SF. The Seattle D is in freefall. Lynch isn't right.

    Falcons vs TN - Falcons. TN QB out. Already. Quinn has to have coached his guys up on the mistakes.

    MN vs Det- MN. The way the Lions treat Stafford...he's lost his team.

    Pitt vs KC- Pitt. Without Charles, KC doesn't have an offense.

    Houston vs Fish- Houston. I think if O'Brien sticks with Hoyer, this team has a shot at coming back. Clowney is still done.

    Ny vs NE- NE. All the way. They are the SB team to beat.

    Philly vs Car- Car. Even with only Olson as Cam's weapon, it's a good offense. Cam looks good. Philly is in trouble.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Mariota is ouT? What a pussy! He barely got hit.

    ReplyDelete
  3. This picking of winners is difficult. Looking at Seattle, short week, Lynch should not have been so fresh looking. He looked slow and weak earlier this year. He looked like the old, violent running, Lynch last night. The Seattle D looked good, too. Maybe Chancellor is warmed up after missing camp?

    Maybe Kaepernick is that bad. Or his O playcaller is calling bad shit. Kaep is one of the better running QB's out there. But he barely ran. Nor did his RB. Three and outs all night. Tired SF defense.

    Things look bad for SF. It's tough to judge because what if SF is that weak or Seattle is that good. The up and down of some of the teams is difficult to reckon.

    The Falcons are even difficult to assess after that slop performance. Julio is banged up, Roddy isn't getting separation, but the run game is excellent. The o line is a real surprise after the last minute signings.

    But you may have it right. Quinn is making things work. Run blocking is easier than pass blocking so Quinn may be going by the strength of the team. Have the fat guys push their weight around.

    The defense is disappointing in part. Beasley isn't performing. He should be plug and play. Hagemann should be the cornerstone of the line but can't stay in for many downs at a time. Biermann is relegated to second team status but makes it out there every game and looks better this year. The injuries had him last year.

    The run game is helping a lot. But the slop from last week was disturbing. A ball control team can't have those turnovers.

    I still have the Birds winning this weekend but it will be interesting to see if those errors are resolved.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Falcons will have no problem with Tennessee. . .the difficulty in picking winners in the NFL, a lot of it is, in part, due to that cliche, that there is a very thin line of talent difference. . .that's why coaching makes such a difference, and that is why Tennessee has no chance. . .terrible coach. . .players can't stand him.

    Atlanta had a lot of good years under Smith, then maybe they start to tune him out, and he makes a small but devastating mistake, starts to lean toward the pass. . .the bottom falls out. . .Atlanta gets a new coach, and, as a result of Smith's shitty last year, an easier schedule. . .the new coach takes advantage of the schedule, and makes the tiny but important correction to restore the run game. . .all of a sudden Atlanta is winning again. . .with a majority of the same players. That's the NFL.

    A team like NE, good every year for a decade and a half, is unusual, but then they got a lucky mix of a winner at QB and a good defensive coach. Most teams, even teams like Seattle and Baltimore, who have proven coaches, can't stay at NE's level for more than 4 or 5 years, and then they are gonna have at least one crappy season. . .it just doesn't take much to move in one direction or the other.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Time to get started on Sunday football. . .Lions in the process of blowing a nice lead over the Vikings.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Lions cannot block Vikes. . .7 sacks vs 16 pass attempts. Absurd.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Falcons struggling with TN.

    Fucking Beasley jogs off the field and gets caught on too many men on the field. Man. These little mental errors are killing this team.

    ReplyDelete
  8. The numbers for Detroit look awful.

    You see the shellacking Houston took? Miami QB was something like 18/18.

    Clowney finally showed up, though

    ReplyDelete
  9. The Lions were beaten black-and-blue the last 3 quarters of the game.

    Surprised Hoyer didn't get benched it was 41-0.

    ReplyDelete
  10. If Gurley's knee holds up, he'll be one of the All-Time greats. . .

    ReplyDelete
  11. Ha ha ha. . .JJ Watt had 2 sacks!! MVP! MVP!

    ReplyDelete
  12. Mallett missed the team plane and had to fly commercial to get to Miami. Mallett ain't starting a lawn mower with Houston.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Is that for real about mallet? Ha ha ha. . .they shoulda told him to stay home.

    ReplyDelete
  14. And ha ha ha to the Cowboys, who thought benching Brenda Weeden was the answer. Been watching football 40 fucking years, if the back-up was better, why the fuck was he the backup to begin with? These idiots never learn.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Jerry Jones controlling things. He's the Al Davis of Texas.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Samantha Bradford is a horrible QB. . .just can't throw the ball downfield. Don't know what Kelly saw in him. Faggy looking, too.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Ha ha ha ha. . .Bradford tried a hail mary from his 45, only got it down to the 10.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Caldwell fires Lombardi, trying to save his job with the old scapegoat routine. . .that shit never works. You're next, nigger Jim. . .

    ReplyDelete
  19. You see Harbaugh blaming this last loss on headset problems?

    Teams that win may have headset problems but get through it somehow. The Ravens are whining about the refs, communications, whatever. With a vet QB in Flacco!

    The Detroit moves. These moves in mid season that go after the underlings never look good. Has it ever worked? It shows weakness at the top.

    Caldwell is grasping. Detroit doesn't really have the pieces. They can't pass block. How often was Stafford on his ass? Okay, so run block. Oops, they can't do that, either.

    I'd rather have Stafford as Falcons QB, no doubt. Better arm, sturdier looking, but would never want Caldwell as towel washer much less HC.

    Bench Stafford when it's looking like the team is leaving him? Stafford took a hit out of.bounds weeks ago and it was a rookie who stepped up for Stafford? Not the rest of the team? And then you bench him?

    It's one thing for an HC to bawl out a QB who has a clear grasp on the team. The mates see even their leader is accountable. But when the mates are already questioning the leadership?

    It's weak on Caldwell's part. Detroit management has to look at whether they want to decapitate now or later.

    The Falcons are looking weak. Well, Ryan is looking weak. He's not playing well. The defense is doing well and the run game is extraordinary. But they've got problems. They keep squeaking them out but that's going to bite them against better teams. Maybe this is good training. Good warm ups with weaker teams.

    Still better than the Detroit situation but the Birds are not SB contenders. It's like with Denver. They're beatable.

    ReplyDelete