Monday, September 14, 2015

College Football Week 3 Picks

1-1-1 vs spread last week, 5-5-1 for the year. . .

Air Force +28 at Michigan State: Letdown for Spartans after big (lucky) win over Oregon + little time to prep for Air Force's triple option means MSU wins, but can't cover the 28.  Air Force

Georgia Tech +2.5 at Notre Dame: Big, big game of Playoff contenders, with the winner looking to have a solid shot at getting one of the 4 spots.  Notre Dame lost starting QB Malik Zaire last week, but back-up QB DeShone Kizer managed to throw a last second game-winning TD pass to keep the Irish from an embarrassing upset loss to Virginia.  Georgia Tech averaged an astounding 8.5 yards per carry in their two wins over shitty teams to begin the season.  They won't get 8.5 against ND, but nobody stops Tech's ground game.  The key for Tech is avoiding turnovers, and hitting a couple big passes.  I would pick Tech even if the Irish had Zaire.  This is Paul Johnson's 8th year at Tech, and this is when good coaches generally hit their peak, with their the second generation class, before hitting the plateau, and then fading.  Georgia Tech is well-oiled, well-coached run machine primed to grind down ND with their four quarters ground attack.  Georgia Tech.   

Auburn +7.5 at Louisiana State: Auburn barely avoided a humiliating loss to Jacksonville State last week, while Les Miles and LSU almost choked away an EZ win at Mississippi State.  While Les has a great running back in Leonard Fournette and a typically tough Tiger defense, once again he's stuck with mediocre QB play.  LSU is one of those teams that can beat anybody, and lose to anybody, because of their inconsistent QBing. I like LSU to win, but not cover.  Auburn.  

South Carolina +15.5 at Georgia: Jadeveon Clowney babied himself his last season at South Carolina, malingering with phantom injuries to protect his draft status. . .and that softness has seemed to spread throughout the program, the Gamecocks have been playing like Lamecocks ever since, with last week's home loss to Kentucky a new low for the old ball coach Steve Spurrier, who's probably regretting he didn't call it quits after last year.  Georgia, like most SEC teams, doesn't have a quality quarterback. . .but that won't matter against the Lamecocks, who don't have near the toughness to stand up to the Dawgs power run game.  Nick Chubb can beat SC with 10 carries.  Georgia.    

Mississippi +7.5 at Alabama: Ole Miss has been the SEC's most impressive team the first two weeks, scoring over 70 each game. . .of course, they've played scrub teams.  Still, new QB Chad Kelly, a college vagabond and former high school blue-chipper with *off-the-field issues* and the nephew of the old Buffalo Bills 4-time Super Bowl loser Jim Kelly, looks like he can actually throw the ball, unlike most SEC QBs. . .and the Rebels are getting 7.5 against a Bama team that looks fairly ordinary on offense.  UPSET SPECIAL.  Mississippi.  

18 comments:

  1. Lots of stories about Spurrier getting too old for the game.

    Watching AF vs MI ST- AF is a throwback team. Almost expect them to spring out the ole wishbone

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  2. Just woke up. . .

    I love that triple option football. . .still gives defenses a headache.

    Looking forward to GaTech running over ND.

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  3. Oh man, you should see Georgia Southern games. Looks like a 60's Bear Bryant offense. Maybe 3 pass plays a game.

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  4. Isn't that where the GaTech coach came from? Didn't he start there and then go to Navy?

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  5. Haha, some idiot ND player just blew out a knee on a celebration.

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  6. Ha ha ha. . .ND player got injured celebrating!

    GaTech's FG kicker is horrible. Gonna cost them the game.

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  7. Yeah, Johnson comes from Southern. He was a DC for Erk Russel, a legendary DC for UGA and later HC for Southern. Russel was pretty special.

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  8. Johnson's got that hangdog look on his face, and that potbelly, looks more like a guy who ought to be pumping gas. Helluva coach, though.

    Watching some LSU-Auburn highlights. Looks like Auburn is afraid of Fournette, they don't want any part of tackling him.

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  9. Johnson looks like a walking sigh.

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  10. And that neck of Johnson's looks like it can hold more fish than a pelican.

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  11. That fucking holding penalty killed them. . .

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  12. Hahahahaha, that idiot who hurt himself celebrating is on the sideline in full uni, helmet, everything. In crutches. Hahahahahaha! He should be wearing a paper bag over his head after that shit.

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  13. And it wasn't even that good of a play. . .poorly thrown ball that would have been caught out of bounds.

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  14. Georgia running right through SC. Seems like every year Georgia has at least 3 stud running backs.

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  15. Even the Georgia QB looks good against South Carolina.

    It's gonna be a long, long, long year for the old ball coach. . .

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  16. Alabama gettin' punked by Ole Miss. . .all the breaks going for the Rebs.

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  17. Man, Spurrier is either gonna have to quit or commit to 4 more years at USC to turn it around. He is one of those guys who can't accept losing. Hates it more than his love of winning. Losing hurts him more than winning feels good.

    Bad thing for Spurrier is he may not have it in him anymore. He may not have it in him to turn it around. He's starting to get that skinny old man look to him. Hollowing out like a 15 year old tom cat.

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  18. I don't think he has any gas left in the tank. . .time to turn it over to the new breed of 24/7 Social Media/Satellite Camp/Brand Promoter Coach.

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